Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nigeria wins |
18.48%
±12.93%
|
4.08 | -24.6% |
| Draw |
31.6%
±4.47%
|
3.04 | -3.9% |
| Morocco wins |
49.93%
±17.28%
|
2.30 | +14.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nigeria
Morocco
Nigeria - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Algeria | 0:2 | W |
| 5 Jan 2026 | Mozambique | 4:0 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Uganda | 1:3 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Tunisia | 3:2 | W |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Tanzania | 2:1 | W |
Morocco - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Jan 2026 | Cameroon | 0:2 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Tanzania | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Zambia | 0:3 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Mali | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Comoros | 2:0 | W |