Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| USA wins |
41.74%
±18.63%
|
2.56 | +6.9% |
| Draw |
30.73%
±3.14%
|
3.18 | -2.3% |
| Paraguay wins |
27.53%
±15.64%
|
3.17 | -12.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
USA
Paraguay
Head-to-Head History
USA Wins
3Draws
0Paraguay Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar 2018 | USA Win | 1:0 |
| 12 Jun 2016 | USA Win | 1:0 |
| 5 Jun 2016 | USA Win | 1:0 |
| 30 Mar 2011 | Paraguay Win | 0:1 |
| 3 Jul 2007 | Paraguay Win | 1:3 |
USA - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct 2025 | Australia | 2:1 | W |
| 11 Oct 2025 | Ecuador | 1:1 | D |
| 10 Sep 2025 | Japan | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Sep 2025 | South Korea | 0:2 | L |
| 7 Jul 2025 | Mexico | 1:2 | L |
Paraguay - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct 2025 | South Korea | 2:0 | L |
| 10 Oct 2025 | Japan | 2:2 | D |
| 3 Jul 2024 | Costa Rica | 2:1 | L |
| 29 Jun 2024 | Brazil | 1:4 | L |
| 25 Jun 2024 | Colombia | 2:1 | L |