Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Uganda wins |
15.74%
±11.69%
|
5.57 | -12.3% |
| Draw |
26.82%
±5.13%
|
3.80 | +1.9% |
| Nigeria wins |
57.45%
±16.75%
|
1.85 | +6.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Uganda
Nigeria
Head-to-Head History
Uganda Wins
1Draws
1Nigeria Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov 2018 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 25 Mar 2015 | Uganda Win | 0:1 |
Uganda - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Tanzania | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Tunisia | 3:1 | L |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Morocco | 4:0 | L |
| 9 Jun 2025 | Gambia | 1:1 | D |
| 19 Nov 2024 | Congo | 0:1 | W |
Nigeria - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Tunisia | 3:2 | W |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Tanzania | 2:1 | W |
| 16 Dec 2025 | Egypt | 2:1 | L |
| 6 Jun 2025 | Russia | 1:1 | D |
| 31 May 2025 | Jamaica | 2:3 | W |