Benfica vs Real Madrid
Final Result
4:2
Benfica to win
Our Prediction
Missed
45.2%
Real Madrid to win
±15.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica wins |
31.19%
±14.42%
|
4.49 | +40.0% |
| Draw |
23.62%
±1.28%
|
4.32 | +2.0% |
| Real Madrid wins |
45.19%
±15.53%
|
1.80 | -18.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Benfica
Real Madrid
Benfica - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan 2026 | Juventus | 2:0 | L |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Napoli | 2:0 | W |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Ajax | 0:2 | W |
| 5 Nov 2025 | Leverkusen | 0:1 | L |
| 21 Oct 2025 | Newcastle | 3:0 | L |
Real Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan 2026 | Monaco | 6:1 | W |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Man City | 1:2 | L |
| 26 Nov 2025 | Olympiakos | 3:4 | W |
| 4 Nov 2025 | Liverpool | 1:0 | L |
| 22 Oct 2025 | Juventus | 1:0 | W |