Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Carlisle wins |
26.79%
±12.34%
|
2.18 | -41.7% |
| Draw Top Bet Landed |
37.92%
±1.96%
|
3.50 | +32.7% |
| Southend wins |
35.29%
±12.78%
|
2.73 | -3.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Carlisle
Southend
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Carlisle
Southend
Shots
13.0
11.3
Shots On Target
6.8
6.2
Corners
5.5
6.7
Fouls
10.7
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.0
1.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Carlisle
Southend
Shots
14.5
4.0
Shots On Target
5.5
1.0
Corners
5.5
6.5
Fouls
9.0
7.5
Yellow Cards
1.2
1.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Carlisle Wins
3Draws
1Southend Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2026 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Carlisle Win | 1:2 |
| 3 Apr 2021 | Carlisle Win | 0:2 |
| 19 Sep 2020 | Carlisle Win | 2:0 |
Carlisle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Boreham Wood | 2:1 | L |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Scunthorpe | 4:2 | W |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Wealdstone | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Hornchurch | 4:1 | W |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Yeovil | 1:1 | D |
Southend - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Sep 2026 | Yeovil | 3:2 | W |
| 31 Aug 2026 | Woking | 1:1 | D |
| 28 Aug 2026 | Kidderminster | 1:3 | L |
| 22 Aug 2026 | Solihull | 1:3 | W |
| 15 Aug 2026 | Scunthorpe | 1:0 | W |