Derby vs Portsmouth
Final Result
1:1
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
49%
Derby to win
±14.6%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Derby wins |
49.02%
±14.6%
|
2.01 | -1.7% |
| Draw |
27.4%
±3.7%
|
3.20 | -12.3% |
| Portsmouth wins |
23.58%
±11.19%
|
3.90 | -8.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Derby
Portsmouth
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Derby
Portsmouth
Shots
11.3
12.6
Shots On Target
3.9
4.1
Corners
5.9
5.4
Fouls
11.7
9.5
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Derby
Portsmouth
Shots
12.5
10.0
Shots On Target
4.0
3.5
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
4.5
4.7
Fouls
12.8
12.0
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
1.8
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Derby Wins
1Draws
5Portsmouth Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 13 Dec 2024 | Derby Win | 4:0 |
| 2 Apr 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 16 Sep 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 29 Apr 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Derby - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec 2025 | Sheffield Weds | 0:3 | W |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Millwall | 1:1 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Leicester | 1:3 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Middlesbrough | 2:1 | L |
| 25 Nov 2025 | Swansea | 1:2 | W |
Portsmouth - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Blackburn | 2:1 | W |
| 9 Dec 2025 | Swansea | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Bristol City | 0:1 | L |
| 26 Nov 2025 | Sheffield United | 3:0 | L |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Millwall | 3:1 | W |