Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins |
70.75%
±11.03%
|
1.33 | -5.9% |
| Draw |
20.34%
±5.59%
|
5.25 | +6.8% |
| Le Havre wins |
8.9%
±5.53%
|
8.75 | -22.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Marseille
Le Havre
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Marseille
Le Havre
Shots
14.6
11.9
Shots On Target
5.6
3.6
Corners
6.3
4.1
Fouls
12.4
15.6
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Marseille
Le Havre
Shots
17.0
8.0
Shots On Target
7.3
2.7
Corners
3.7
2.7
Fouls
9.7
11.0
Yellow Cards
0.3
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Marseille Wins
4Draws
0Le Havre Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2025 | Marseille Win | 1:3 |
| 5 Jan 2025 | Marseille Win | 5:1 |
| 19 May 2024 | Marseille Win | 1:2 |
| 8 Oct 2023 | Marseille Win | 3:0 |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Oct 2025 | Metz | 0:3 | W |
| 26 Sep 2025 | Strasbourg | 1:2 | W |
| 22 Sep 2025 | Paris SG | 1:0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2025 | Lorient | 4:0 | W |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Lyon | 1:0 | L |
Le Havre - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Rennes | 2:2 | D |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Metz | 0:0 | D |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Lorient | 1:1 | D |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Strasbourg | 1:0 | L |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Nice | 3:1 | W |