Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mainz wins |
41.97%
±14.61%
|
2.08 | -12.9% |
| Draw |
28.89%
±2.7%
|
3.45 | -0.3% |
| Hamburg wins |
29.14%
±12.43%
|
3.50 | +2.0% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mainz
Hamburg
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Mainz
Hamburg
Shots
11.0
12.5
Shots On Target
4.8
4.8
Corners
5.4
4.3
Fouls
9.2
11.7
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Mainz
Hamburg
Shots
11.0
15.0
Shots On Target
4.0
9.0
Corners
4.0
1.0
Fouls
13.0
14.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Mainz Wins
0Draws
0Hamburg Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Hamburg Win | 4:0 |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb 2026 | Dortmund | 4:0 | L |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Augsburg | 2:0 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | RB Leipzig | 1:2 | W |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Wolfsburg | 3:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | FC Koln | 2:1 | L |
Hamburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb 2026 | Union Berlin | 3:2 | W |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Heidenheim | 0:2 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Bayern Munich | 2:2 | D |
| 23 Jan 2026 | St Pauli | 0:0 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | M'gladbach | 0:0 | D |