Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arsenal wins |
82.92%
±7.35%
|
1.10 | -8.8% |
| Draw Top Bet |
12.99%
±4.52%
|
11.00 | +42.9% |
| Burnley wins |
4.09%
±2.87%
|
21.50 | -12.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arsenal
Burnley
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Arsenal
Burnley
Shots
14.2
10.0
Shots On Target
4.8
3.4
Corners
5.2
4.0
Fouls
10.9
11.0
Yellow Cards
1.3
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Arsenal
Burnley
Shots
15.4
10.1
Shots On Target
5.0
2.2
Corners
6.8
3.9
Fouls
9.2
9.5
Yellow Cards
1.1
1.5
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Arsenal Wins
4Draws
3Burnley Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Arsenal Win | 0:2 |
| 17 Feb 2024 | Arsenal Win | 0:5 |
| 11 Nov 2023 | Arsenal Win | 3:1 |
| 23 Jan 2022 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 18 Sep 2021 | Arsenal Win | 0:1 |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | West Ham | 0:1 | W |
| 2 May 2026 | Fulham | 3:0 | W |
| 25 Apr 2026 | Newcastle | 1:0 | W |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Man City | 2:1 | L |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Bournemouth | 1:2 | L |
Burnley - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Aston Villa | 2:2 | D |
| 1 May 2026 | Leeds | 3:1 | L |
| 22 Apr 2026 | Man City | 0:1 | L |
| 19 Apr 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 4:1 | L |
| 11 Apr 2026 | Brighton | 0:2 | L |