Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Leicester wins |
42.15%
±14.68%
|
2.25 | -5.2% |
| Draw |
27.72%
±2.5%
|
3.35 | -7.2% |
| Watford wins |
30.14%
±12.68%
|
3.08 | -7.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Leicester
Watford
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Leicester
Watford
Shots
9.7
13.7
Shots On Target
3.2
5.2
Corners
3.5
4.8
Fouls
12.6
12.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Leicester
Watford
Shots
15.0
11.8
Shots On Target
5.6
3.6
Corners
5.0
5.0
Fouls
8.6
12.6
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Leicester Wins
4Draws
1Watford Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 10 Feb 2024 | Leicester Win | 1:2 |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Leicester Win | 2:0 |
| 15 May 2022 | Leicester Win | 1:5 |
| 28 Nov 2021 | Leicester Win | 4:2 |
| 20 Jun 2020 | Draw | 1:1 |
Leicester - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | QPR | 4:1 | L |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Ipswich | 3:1 | W |
| 10 Dec 2025 | Bristol City | 2:2 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Derby | 1:3 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Sheffield United | 2:3 | L |
Watford - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Stoke | 1:0 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Wrexham | 2:2 | D |
| 9 Dec 2025 | Sheffield Weds | 1:1 | D |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Norwich | 3:2 | W |
| 1 Dec 2025 | Birmingham | 2:1 | L |