Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Excelsior wins |
50.49%
±15.09%
|
1.93 | -2.6% |
| Draw |
23.82%
±3.22%
|
4.00 | -4.7% |
| Heracles wins |
25.69%
±12.15%
|
3.50 | -10.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Excelsior
Heracles
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Excelsior
Heracles
Shots
13.0
11.5
Shots On Target
4.1
3.7
Corners
4.6
3.6
Fouls
13.7
12.3
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Excelsior
Heracles
Shots
14.0
10.5
Shots On Target
6.0
2.5
Corners
4.0
6.0
Fouls
8.0
11.0
Yellow Cards
3.0
2.0
Red Cards
0.5
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Excelsior Wins
1Draws
0Heracles Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 May 2024 | Excelsior Win | 4:0 |
| 2 Sep 2023 | Heracles Win | 3:1 |
Excelsior - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Telstar | 2:2 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2:0 | L |
| 19 Oct 2025 | For Sittard | 1:0 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Heerenveen | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 1:2 | L |
Heracles - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Zwolle | 8:2 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Volendam | 3:0 | L |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Feyenoord | 0:7 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Twente | 2:1 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam | 3:0 | W |