English Premier League 4 Jan 2026 07:30 Match Finished

Leeds vs Man United

Final Result

1:1

Match ended in a draw

Rating Change

Leeds +2.6
Man United -5.3
Our Prediction Missed
40.3% Man United to win

±13.6%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Leeds wins
30.05% ±13.14%
2.70 -18.9%
Draw
29.69% ±1.66%
3.40 +1.0%
Man United wins
40.26% ±13.56%
2.57 +3.3%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Leeds
Man United

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Leeds
Man United
Shots 12.6 17.1
Shots On Target 4.4 6.0
Corners 4.8 5.6
Fouls 10.2 11.3
Yellow Cards 1.5 1.6
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Leeds
Man United
Shots 12.2 18.0
Shots On Target 3.8 7.8
Corners 5.7 5.7
Fouls 11.7 11.2
Yellow Cards 2.8 1.3
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Leeds Wins

0

Draws

2

Man United Wins

4
Date Result Score
12 Feb 2023 Man United Win 0:2
8 Feb 2023 Draw 2:2
20 Feb 2022 Man United Win 2:4
14 Aug 2021 Man United Win 5:1
25 Apr 2021 Draw 0:0

Leeds - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
1 Jan 2026 Liverpool 0:0 D
28 Dec 2025 Sunderland 1:1 D
20 Dec 2025 Crystal Palace 4:1 W
14 Dec 2025 Brentford 1:1 D
6 Dec 2025 Liverpool 3:3 D

Man United - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
30 Dec 2025 Wolves 1:1 D
26 Dec 2025 Newcastle 1:0 W
21 Dec 2025 Aston Villa 2:1 L
15 Dec 2025 Bournemouth 4:4 D
8 Dec 2025 Wolves 1:4 W