Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Stranraer wins |
37.99%
±14.08%
|
1.86 | -29.3% |
| Draw |
30.69%
±2.23%
|
3.45 | +5.9% |
| Dumbarton wins |
31.33%
±12.54%
|
3.40 | +6.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Stranraer
Dumbarton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Stranraer
Dumbarton
Shots
11.7
7.9
Shots On Target
5.1
3.3
Corners
6.1
6.2
Fouls
9.9
11.6
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.8
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Stranraer
Dumbarton
Shots
9.9
9.0
Shots On Target
3.6
4.0
Corners
4.4
6.1
Fouls
8.2
7.8
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Stranraer Wins
3Draws
2Dumbarton Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Sep 2025 | Stranraer Win | 1:2 |
| 20 Apr 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 5 Mar 2024 | Stranraer Win | 5:0 |
| 24 Feb 2024 | Dumbarton Win | 2:1 |
| 30 Sep 2023 | Dumbarton Win | 3:1 |
Stranraer - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Elgin | 1:2 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Stirling | 3:2 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Spartans | 0:4 | W |
| 15 Nov 2025 | East Kilbride | 1:3 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Clyde | 0:0 | D |
Dumbarton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | East Kilbride | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Edinburgh City | 4:3 | L |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Forfar | 1:4 | L |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Elgin | 2:0 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Annan Athletic | 2:1 | W |