Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins |
41.11%
±14.61%
|
2.03 | -16.7% |
| Draw |
30.37%
±2.78%
|
3.75 | +13.9% |
| Lens wins |
28.52%
±12.38%
|
3.35 | -4.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Marseille
Lens
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Marseille
Lens
Shots
14.4
14.7
Shots On Target
5.9
6.1
Corners
4.9
5.4
Fouls
11.0
14.3
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.7
Red Cards
0.3
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Marseille
Lens
Shots
12.2
12.4
Shots On Target
4.2
4.0
Corners
5.1
5.8
Fouls
11.5
14.3
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Marseille Wins
3Draws
1Lens Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Lens Win | 2:1 |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Lens Win | 0:1 |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Marseille Win | 1:3 |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Marseille Win | 2:1 |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Lens Win | 1:0 |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Angers | 2:5 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Nantes | 0:2 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Monaco | 1:0 | W |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Lille | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Toulouse | 2:2 | D |
Lens - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Auxerre | 1:0 | W |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Toulouse | 0:3 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Nice | 2:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Nantes | 1:2 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Angers | 1:2 | W |