Barcelona vs Ath Madrid
Final Result
3:1
Barcelona to win
Our Prediction
Correct
49.1%
Barcelona to win
±15.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Barcelona wins |
49.06%
±15.46%
|
1.74 | -14.6% |
| Draw |
26.28%
±3.67%
|
4.20 | +10.4% |
| Ath Madrid wins |
24.66%
±12.15%
|
4.05 | -0.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Barcelona
Ath Madrid
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Barcelona
Ath Madrid
Shots
19.4
14.5
Shots On Target
7.9
6.6
Corners
6.6
7.7
Fouls
9.0
10.3
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.9
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Barcelona
Ath Madrid
Shots
12.0
10.2
Shots On Target
4.3
3.6
Corners
5.6
5.0
Fouls
12.3
13.3
Yellow Cards
2.2
3.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Barcelona Wins
6Draws
1Ath Madrid Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar 2025 | Barcelona Win | 2:4 |
| 21 Dec 2024 | Ath Madrid Win | 1:2 |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Barcelona Win | 0:3 |
| 3 Dec 2023 | Barcelona Win | 1:0 |
| 23 Apr 2023 | Barcelona Win | 1:0 |
Barcelona - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Alaves | 3:1 | W |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Ath Bilbao | 4:0 | W |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Celta | 2:4 | W |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Elche | 3:1 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Real Madrid | 2:1 | L |
Ath Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Nov 2025 | Oviedo | 2:0 | W |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Getafe | 0:1 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Levante | 3:1 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Sevilla | 3:0 | W |
| 27 Oct 2025 | Betis | 0:2 | W |