Eredivisie 1 Mar 2026 10:45 Match Finished

Utrecht vs AZ Alkmaar

Our Prediction Missed
36.9% AZ Alkmaar to win

±13.5%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Utrecht wins
33.44% ±13.82%
2.25 -24.8%
Draw
29.63% ±1.64%
3.55 +5.2%
AZ Alkmaar wins
36.93% ±13.48%
3.03 +11.7%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Shots 14.5 14.9
Shots On Target 4.7 5.6
Corners 5.1 5.0
Fouls 10.7 10.8
Yellow Cards 1.8 1.7
Red Cards 0.1 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Utrecht
AZ Alkmaar
Shots 12.7 13.8
Shots On Target 4.8 5.9
Corners 5.3 5.3
Fouls 9.8 9.4
Yellow Cards 1.0 0.9
Red Cards 0.0 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Utrecht Wins

2

Draws

5

AZ Alkmaar Wins

3
Date Result Score
26 Oct 2025 AZ Alkmaar Win 4:1
18 Jan 2025 Draw 0:0
29 Sep 2024 Utrecht Win 1:2
19 May 2024 Draw 3:3
3 Dec 2023 Draw 1:1

Utrecht - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
22 Feb 2026 Zwolle 1:1 D
14 Feb 2026 Groningen 1:2 W
11 Feb 2026 Nijmegen 1:3 W
8 Feb 2026 Feyenoord 0:1 L
1 Feb 2026 Heerenveen 1:1 D

AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
22 Feb 2026 Sparta Rotterdam 3:1 W
14 Feb 2026 Excelsior 1:2 W
8 Feb 2026 Ajax 1:1 D
31 Jan 2026 Nijmegen 1:3 L
25 Jan 2026 Telstar 0:1 W