Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nice wins |
18.04%
±9.96%
|
3.78 | -31.9% |
| Draw |
28.6%
±3.63%
|
3.68 | +5.1% |
| Marseille wins |
53.36%
±13.27%
|
1.92 | +2.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Nice
Marseille
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Nice
Marseille
Shots
10.4
13.7
Shots On Target
3.9
5.9
Corners
4.1
4.7
Fouls
13.3
13.0
Yellow Cards
2.4
2.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Nice
Marseille
Shots
12.3
11.8
Shots On Target
4.2
3.8
Corners
4.0
5.0
Fouls
10.6
11.4
Yellow Cards
1.8
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Nice Wins
4Draws
2Marseille Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan 2025 | Nice Win | 2:0 |
| 14 Sep 2024 | Marseille Win | 2:0 |
| 24 Apr 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 21 Oct 2023 | Nice Win | 1:0 |
| 5 Feb 2023 | Nice Win | 1:3 |
Nice - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Metz | 2:1 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Paris SG | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Lille | 2:0 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Rennes | 1:2 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Lyon | 3:2 | W |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 8 Nov 2025 | Brest | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Auxerre | 0:1 | W |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Angers | 2:2 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Lens | 2:1 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Le Havre | 6:2 | W |