Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lyon wins |
11.51%
±7.12%
|
4.05 | -53.4% |
| Draw |
25.35%
±4.72%
|
3.95 | +0.1% |
| Paris SG wins |
63.14%
±11.67%
|
1.81 | +14.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lyon
Paris SG
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Lyon
Paris SG
Shots
12.0
17.4
Shots On Target
4.4
6.9
Corners
6.0
6.6
Fouls
14.3
10.7
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.1
Red Cards
0.3
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lyon
Paris SG
Shots
11.7
14.5
Shots On Target
5.1
5.9
Corners
3.9
5.4
Fouls
13.7
9.5
Yellow Cards
1.5
1.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lyon Wins
2Draws
1Paris SG Wins
7| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb 2025 | Paris SG Win | 2:3 |
| 15 Dec 2024 | Paris SG Win | 3:1 |
| 21 Apr 2024 | Paris SG Win | 4:1 |
| 3 Sep 2023 | Paris SG Win | 1:4 |
| 2 Apr 2023 | Lyon Win | 0:1 |
Lyon - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Brest | 0:0 | D |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Paris FC | 3:3 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Strasbourg | 2:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Nice | 3:2 | L |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Toulouse | 1:2 | L |
Paris SG - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Nice | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Lorient | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Brest | 0:3 | W |
| 17 Oct 2025 | Strasbourg | 3:3 | D |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Lille | 1:1 | D |