RB Leipzig vs Mainz
Final Result
1:2
Mainz to win
Our Prediction
Missed
60.7%
RB Leipzig to win
±13.5%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig wins |
60.74%
±13.5%
|
1.55 | -5.9% |
| Draw |
23.9%
±5.08%
|
4.55 | +8.7% |
| Mainz wins |
15.36%
±8.59%
|
5.38 | -17.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
RB Leipzig
Mainz
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
RB Leipzig
Mainz
Shots
16.4
10.0
Shots On Target
6.3
3.7
Corners
5.1
5.4
Fouls
8.2
10.1
Yellow Cards
1.2
2.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
RB Leipzig
Mainz
Shots
14.3
10.9
Shots On Target
4.5
2.9
Corners
6.5
3.0
Fouls
10.8
13.2
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
RB Leipzig Wins
3Draws
2Mainz Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep 2025 | RB Leipzig Win | 0:1 |
| 1 Mar 2025 | Mainz Win | 1:2 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | RB Leipzig Win | 0:2 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Mainz Win | 2:0 |
RB Leipzig - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan 2026 | St Pauli | 1:1 | D |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Heidenheim | 0:3 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Bayern Munich | 1:5 | L |
| 14 Jan 2026 | Freiburg | 2:0 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Leverkusen | 1:3 | L |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Wolfsburg | 3:1 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | FC Koln | 2:1 | L |
| 13 Jan 2026 | Heidenheim | 2:1 | W |
| 10 Jan 2026 | Union Berlin | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | St Pauli | 0:0 | D |