Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Paris SG wins |
65.31%
±12.94%
|
1.33 | -13.5% |
| Draw |
22.46%
±5.58%
|
5.63 | +26.4% |
| Lille wins |
12.23%
±7.5%
|
7.88 | -3.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Paris SG
Lille
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Paris SG
Lille
Shots
19.3
14.0
Shots On Target
7.6
5.1
Corners
6.4
6.2
Fouls
10.4
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.5
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Paris SG
Lille
Shots
15.8
10.6
Shots On Target
6.8
4.3
Corners
4.8
4.2
Fouls
10.5
12.0
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Paris SG Wins
7Draws
2Lille Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 1 Mar 2025 | Paris SG Win | 4:1 |
| 1 Sep 2024 | Paris SG Win | 1:3 |
| 10 Feb 2024 | Paris SG Win | 3:1 |
| 17 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Paris SG - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Paris FC | 2:1 | W |
| 13 Dec 2025 | Metz | 2:3 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Rennes | 5:0 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Monaco | 1:0 | L |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Le Havre | 3:0 | W |
Lille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Rennes | 0:2 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Auxerre | 3:4 | W |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Marseille | 1:0 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Le Havre | 0:1 | W |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Paris FC | 4:2 | W |