Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mali wins |
23.5%
±15.51%
|
6.33 | +48.8% |
| Draw |
31.44%
±2.91%
|
3.20 | +0.6% |
| Senegal wins |
45.06%
±18.24%
|
1.85 | -16.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Mali
Senegal
Head-to-Head History
Mali Wins
0Draws
1Senegal Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar 2019 | Senegal Win | 2:1 |
| 5 Mar 2014 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 8 Oct 2005 | Senegal Win | 3:0 |
Mali - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Tunisia | 2:1 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Comoros | 0:0 | D |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Morocco | 1:1 | D |
| 22 Dec 2025 | Zambia | 1:1 | D |
| 18 Nov 2025 | Jordan | 0:0 | D |
Senegal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Jan 2026 | Sudan | 3:1 | W |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Benin | 0:3 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | DR Congo | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Dec 2025 | Botswana | 3:0 | W |
| 15 Nov 2025 | Brazil | 2:0 | L |