Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Marseille wins |
74.56%
±10.06%
|
1.23 | -7.9% |
| Draw |
17.96%
±5.3%
|
6.50 | +16.7% |
| Nantes wins |
7.49%
±4.82%
|
11.25 | -15.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Marseille
Nantes
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Marseille
Nantes
Shots
14.9
9.6
Shots On Target
6.4
2.8
Corners
4.7
2.7
Fouls
10.9
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.8
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Marseille
Nantes
Shots
15.3
7.8
Shots On Target
5.3
2.2
Corners
4.8
3.9
Fouls
12.3
12.4
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.5
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Marseille Wins
8Draws
2Nantes Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Mar 2025 | Marseille Win | 2:0 |
| 3 Nov 2024 | Marseille Win | 1:2 |
| 10 Mar 2024 | Marseille Win | 2:0 |
| 1 Sep 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 1 Feb 2023 | Marseille Win | 0:2 |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec 2025 | Monaco | 1:0 | W |
| 5 Dec 2025 | Lille | 1:0 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Toulouse | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Nov 2025 | Nice | 1:5 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Brest | 3:0 | W |
Nantes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec 2025 | Angers | 4:1 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Lens | 1:2 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Lyon | 3:0 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Lorient | 1:1 | D |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Le Havre | 1:1 | D |