AZ Alkmaar vs PSV Eindhoven
Final Result
1:5
PSV Eindhoven to win
Our Prediction
Correct
50%
PSV Eindhoven to win
±13.9%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar wins |
22%
±11.49%
|
2.98 | -34.5% |
| Draw |
27.95%
±2.86%
|
4.00 | +11.8% |
| PSV Eindhoven wins |
50.04%
±13.88%
|
2.13 | +6.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Shots
19.1
18.8
Shots On Target
6.9
7.2
Corners
6.4
6.3
Fouls
11.3
10.9
Yellow Cards
3.0
1.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
AZ Alkmaar
PSV Eindhoven
Shots
7.7
14.7
Shots On Target
3.7
4.4
Corners
2.9
5.8
Fouls
9.8
10.7
Yellow Cards
1.9
1.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
AZ Alkmaar Wins
4Draws
1PSV Eindhoven Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 19 Oct 2024 | PSV Eindhoven Win | 1:2 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | PSV Eindhoven Win | 5:1 |
| 17 Dec 2023 | PSV Eindhoven Win | 0:4 |
| 28 May 2023 | PSV Eindhoven Win | 1:2 |
AZ Alkmaar - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Sparta Rotterdam | 0:1 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Utrecht | 4:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Ajax | 0:2 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Telstar | 2:1 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Nijmegen | 2:1 | L |
PSV Eindhoven - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct 2025 | For Sittard | 5:2 | W |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Feyenoord | 2:3 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 2:1 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Zwolle | 0:4 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Excelsior | 1:2 | W |