Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spezia wins |
24.59%
±12.13%
|
3.68 | -9.6% |
| Draw |
26.87%
±2.34%
|
3.28 | -12.0% |
| Monza wins |
48.54%
±13.96%
|
2.01 | -2.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Spezia
Monza
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Spezia
Monza
Shots
12.8
15.6
Shots On Target
4.3
5.2
Corners
5.6
6.6
Fouls
14.9
13.2
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Spezia
Monza
Shots
8.3
10.3
Shots On Target
1.7
4.0
Corners
3.3
4.7
Fouls
16.0
14.7
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Spezia Wins
0Draws
0Monza Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Monza Win | 1:0 |
| 28 Apr 2023 | Monza Win | 0:2 |
| 9 Oct 2022 | Monza Win | 2:0 |
Spezia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | Padova | 2:2 | D |
| 28 Feb 2026 | Reggiana | 0:1 | L |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Cesena | 2:3 | W |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Frosinone | 0:2 | L |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Bari | 0:0 | D |
Monza - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3 Mar 2026 | Cesena | 1:3 | W |
| 27 Feb 2026 | Virtus Entella | 2:0 | W |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Carrarese | 0:1 | W |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Juve Stabia | 2:1 | W |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Sudtirol | 0:0 | D |