Hamilton vs Kelty Hearts
Final Result
3:1
Hamilton to win
Our Prediction
Correct
69%
Hamilton to win
±11.4%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hamilton wins |
68.99%
±11.43%
|
1.30 | -10.7% |
| Draw |
22.03%
±5.95%
|
4.88 | +7.4% |
| Kelty Hearts wins |
8.98%
±5.57%
|
7.75 | -30.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hamilton
Kelty Hearts
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hamilton
Kelty Hearts
Shots
10.1
6.5
Shots On Target
5.5
3.1
Corners
4.8
3.5
Fouls
9.6
11.1
Yellow Cards
1.6
3.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hamilton
Kelty Hearts
Shots
14.4
7.0
Shots On Target
9.0
2.8
Corners
7.6
2.8
Fouls
11.0
8.8
Yellow Cards
0.8
1.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hamilton Wins
4Draws
1Kelty Hearts Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | Hamilton Win | 0:4 |
| 4 May 2024 | Hamilton Win | 4:1 |
| 2 Mar 2024 | Hamilton Win | 0:5 |
| 23 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 12 Aug 2023 | Hamilton Win | 0:2 |
Hamilton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | Cove Rangers | 2:1 | L |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Peterhead | 3:0 | W |
| 1 Nov 2025 | East Fife | 1:1 | D |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Queen of Sth | 1:2 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Montrose | 0:4 | W |
Kelty Hearts - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Nov 2025 | Queen of Sth | 1:1 | D |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Stenhousemuir | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Alloa | 3:0 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | East Fife | 0:3 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Inverness C | 2:2 | D |