Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins |
50.42%
±14.46%
|
1.84 | -7.2% |
| Draw |
27.81%
±4.1%
|
3.78 | +5.0% |
| Leeds wins |
21.77%
±10.64%
|
4.00 | -12.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brighton
Leeds
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Brighton
Leeds
Shots
13.5
14.2
Shots On Target
4.8
3.7
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
5.5
4.3
Fouls
12.2
10.0
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Brighton
Leeds
Shots
14.5
11.7
Shots On Target
3.8
3.2
Corners
3.8
5.0
Fouls
10.8
11.7
Yellow Cards
1.3
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Brighton Wins
3Draws
3Leeds Wins
0| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar 2023 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 27 Aug 2022 | Brighton Win | 1:0 |
| 15 May 2022 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 27 Nov 2021 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 1 May 2021 | Brighton Win | 2:0 |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct 2025 | Man United | 4:2 | L |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Newcastle | 2:1 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Wolves | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Chelsea | 1:3 | W |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Tottenham | 2:2 | D |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct 2025 | West Ham | 2:1 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Burnley | 2:0 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Tottenham | 1:2 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Bournemouth | 2:2 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Wolves | 1:3 | W |