Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Lens wins |
20.95%
±10.84%
|
2.75 | -42.4% |
| Draw |
30.64%
±3.03%
|
3.60 | +10.3% |
| Marseille wins |
48.42%
±13.42%
|
2.41 | +16.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Lens
Marseille
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Lens
Marseille
Shots
13.9
15.0
Shots On Target
4.5
6.2
Corners
6.5
5.8
Fouls
12.8
13.0
Yellow Cards
2.2
2.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Lens
Marseille
Shots
12.9
10.9
Shots On Target
3.9
4.0
Corners
6.3
4.6
Fouls
14.2
11.9
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Lens Wins
6Draws
1Marseille Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 8 Mar 2025 | Lens Win | 0:1 |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Marseille Win | 1:3 |
| 28 Apr 2024 | Marseille Win | 2:1 |
| 12 Nov 2023 | Lens Win | 1:0 |
| 6 May 2023 | Lens Win | 2:1 |
Lens - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct 2025 | Paris FC | 2:1 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Auxerre | 1:2 | W |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Rennes | 0:0 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Lille | 3:0 | W |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Paris SG | 2:0 | L |
Marseille - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Le Havre | 6:2 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Metz | 0:3 | W |
| 26 Sep 2025 | Strasbourg | 1:2 | W |
| 22 Sep 2025 | Paris SG | 1:0 | W |
| 12 Sep 2025 | Lorient | 4:0 | W |