Hoffenheim vs RB Leipzig
Final Result
3:1
Hoffenheim to win
Our Prediction
Missed
38.9%
RB Leipzig to win
±13.7%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Hoffenheim wins |
31.85%
±13.56%
|
2.60 | -17.2% |
| Draw |
29.24%
±1.57%
|
3.90 | +14.0% |
| RB Leipzig wins |
38.9%
±13.65%
|
2.39 | -7.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
Shots
12.9
15.8
Shots On Target
5.1
5.2
Corners
5.6
5.8
Fouls
15.3
10.6
Yellow Cards
2.0
1.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Hoffenheim
RB Leipzig
Shots
12.7
12.5
Shots On Target
4.2
4.8
Corners
4.0
4.0
Fouls
12.8
12.4
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.4
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Hoffenheim Wins
2Draws
2RB Leipzig Wins
6| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2025 | RB Leipzig Win | 3:1 |
| 23 Nov 2024 | Hoffenheim Win | 4:3 |
| 3 May 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 16 Dec 2023 | RB Leipzig Win | 3:1 |
| 29 Apr 2023 | RB Leipzig Win | 1:0 |
Hoffenheim - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 Nov 2025 | Wolfsburg | 2:3 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Heidenheim | 3:1 | W |
| 19 Oct 2025 | St Pauli | 0:3 | W |
| 3 Oct 2025 | FC Koln | 0:1 | L |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Freiburg | 1:1 | D |
RB Leipzig - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Stuttgart | 3:1 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Augsburg | 0:6 | W |
| 18 Oct 2025 | Hamburg | 2:1 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Dortmund | 1:1 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Wolfsburg | 0:1 | W |