English League One 28 Feb 2026 10:00 Match Finished

Exeter vs Bolton

Final Result

1:5

Bolton to win

Rating Change

Exeter +0.5
Bolton -1.3
Our Prediction Correct
46% Bolton to win

±13.5%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Exeter wins
24.87% ±11.87%
3.33 -17.3%
Draw
29.12% ±2.27%
3.40 -1.0%
Bolton wins
46.01% ±13.53%
2.08 -4.5%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Exeter
Bolton

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Exeter
Bolton
Shots 13.0 14.6
Shots On Target 4.0 4.9
Corners 4.7 6.3
Fouls 12.7 10.8
Yellow Cards 2.3 1.9
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Exeter
Bolton
Shots 7.8 14.9
Shots On Target 3.0 4.3
Corners 4.4 5.8
Fouls 11.7 10.1
Yellow Cards 2.3 1.7
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Exeter Wins

2

Draws

2

Bolton Wins

5
Date Result Score
13 Dec 2025 Bolton Win 2:1
4 Jan 2025 Bolton Win 1:2
31 Aug 2024 Exeter Win 0:2
9 Mar 2024 Draw 2:2
25 Nov 2023 Bolton Win 7:0

Exeter - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
21 Feb 2026 Peterboro 3:3 D
17 Feb 2026 Wycombe 1:1 D
14 Feb 2026 Northampton 0:0 D
7 Feb 2026 Mansfield 0:0 D
31 Jan 2026 Rotherham 0:4 L

Bolton - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
21 Feb 2026 Blackpool 2:2 D
17 Feb 2026 Reading 1:1 D
14 Feb 2026 Lincoln 1:1 D
7 Feb 2026 Barnsley 3:2 W
31 Jan 2026 AFC Wimbledon 0:1 W