Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| PAOK wins |
26.01%
±12.12%
|
1.71 | -55.7% |
| Draw |
33.11%
±2.06%
|
3.65 | +20.9% |
| AEK wins Top Bet |
40.88%
±13.27%
|
4.80 | +96.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
PAOK
AEK
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
PAOK
AEK
Shots
9.4
14.3
Shots On Target
3.1
4.7
Corners
4.0
5.4
Fouls
13.3
17.2
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Hit On Woodwork
N/A
0.0
Free Kicks Conceded
N/A
0.0
Offsides
N/A
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
PAOK
AEK
Shots
9.0
15.0
Shots On Target
2.0
4.0
Corners
4.3
5.3
Fouls
12.7
19.0
Yellow Cards
2.7
2.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
PAOK Wins
3Draws
2AEK Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr 2026 | AEK Win | 3:0 |
| 15 Feb 2026 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 19 Oct 2025 | PAOK Win | 0:2 |
| 11 May 2025 | PAOK Win | 1:0 |
| 30 Mar 2025 | PAOK Win | 2:3 |
PAOK - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Olympiakos | 1:1 | D |
| 3 May 2026 | Olympiakos | 3:1 | W |
| 19 Apr 2026 | AEK | 3:0 | L |
| 5 Apr 2026 | Panathinaikos | 0:0 | D |
| 22 Mar 2026 | Volos NFC | 2:1 | L |
AEK - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May 2026 | Panathinaikos | 2:1 | W |
| 3 May 2026 | Panathinaikos | 0:0 | D |
| 19 Apr 2026 | PAOK | 3:0 | W |
| 5 Apr 2026 | Olympiakos | 0:1 | W |
| 4 Apr 2026 | Olympiakos | 0:1 | W |