Atalanta vs Fiorentina
Final Result
2:0
Atalanta to win
Our Prediction
Correct
54.1%
Atalanta to win
±14.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Atalanta wins |
54.08%
±14.3%
|
1.73 | -6.4% |
| Draw |
26.74%
±4.58%
|
3.75 | +0.3% |
| Fiorentina wins |
19.19%
±9.94%
|
4.68 | -10.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Shots
14.2
11.9
Shots On Target
3.9
2.8
Corners
5.8
5.0
Fouls
9.7
14.5
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Atalanta
Fiorentina
Shots
11.0
9.9
Shots On Target
5.2
4.1
Corners
4.5
3.0
Fouls
14.4
13.4
Yellow Cards
2.3
2.2
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Atalanta Wins
4Draws
1Fiorentina Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar 2025 | Fiorentina Win | 1:0 |
| 15 Sep 2024 | Atalanta Win | 3:2 |
| 2 Jun 2024 | Fiorentina Win | 2:3 |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Fiorentina Win | 3:2 |
| 17 Apr 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Atalanta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Napoli | 3:1 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Sassuolo | 0:3 | L |
| 1 Nov 2025 | Udinese | 1:0 | L |
| 28 Oct 2025 | Milan | 1:1 | D |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Cremonese | 1:1 | D |
Fiorentina - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov 2025 | Juventus | 1:1 | D |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Genoa | 2:2 | D |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Lecce | 0:1 | L |
| 29 Oct 2025 | Inter | 3:0 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Bologna | 2:2 | D |