Primeira Liga 1 Mar 2026 13:00 Match Finished

Casa Pia vs Moreirense

Our Prediction Missed
35.8% Casa Pia to win

±14%

Outcome Probabilities

Outcome Probability Odds EV
Casa Pia wins
35.79% ±14.02%
2.65 -5.2%
Draw
30.22% ±1.91%
3.00 -9.3%
Moreirense wins
33.99% ±13.08%
2.75 -6.5%

Model Rating

AI model rating per team before kickoff

Casa Pia
Moreirense

Recent Form Statistics

Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.

Stat
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Shots 8.3 8.3
Shots On Target 2.9 3.2
Corners 2.9 3.4
Fouls 17.1 14.1
Yellow Cards 2.9 2.2
Red Cards 0.1 0.1

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.

Head-to-Head Statistics

Average per-match stats from recent meetings.

Stat
Casa Pia
Moreirense
Shots 14.4 11.8
Shots On Target 3.8 4.0
Corners 5.0 4.0
Fouls 18.6 14.4
Yellow Cards 2.6 2.2
Red Cards 0.0 0.0

Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.

Head-to-Head History

Casa Pia Wins

2

Draws

0

Moreirense Wins

3
Date Result Score
27 Sep 2025 Moreirense Win 2:1
15 Feb 2025 Moreirense Win 3:2
14 Sep 2024 Casa Pia Win 3:1
12 May 2024 Moreirense Win 0:1
8 Jan 2024 Casa Pia Win 1:4

Casa Pia - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
23 Feb 2026 Famalicao 2:0 L
14 Feb 2026 Arouca 3:2 W
8 Feb 2026 Nacional 0:0 D
2 Feb 2026 Porto 2:1 W
23 Jan 2026 AVS 3:3 D

Moreirense - Recent Form

Date Opponent Score Result
21 Feb 2026 Sp Lisbon 0:3 L
16 Feb 2026 Rio Ave 1:2 W
7 Feb 2026 Gil Vicente 1:2 L
30 Jan 2026 Guimaraes 1:0 L
24 Jan 2026 Santa Clara 1:0 W