Milan vs Fiorentina
Final Result
2:1
Milan to win
Our Prediction
Correct
57.2%
Milan to win
±13.8%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Milan wins |
57.17%
±13.79%
|
1.52 | -13.4% |
| Draw |
26.09%
±5%
|
4.22 | +10.0% |
| Fiorentina wins |
16.75%
±8.98%
|
6.38 | +6.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Milan
Fiorentina
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Milan
Fiorentina
Shots
14.0
12.0
Shots On Target
4.7
2.3
Corners
4.3
4.0
Fouls
9.5
15.2
Yellow Cards
1.2
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Milan
Fiorentina
Shots
11.9
11.8
Shots On Target
5.6
4.8
Corners
4.7
6.1
Fouls
14.0
10.7
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.3
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Milan Wins
6Draws
1Fiorentina Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 6 Oct 2024 | Fiorentina Win | 2:1 |
| 30 Mar 2024 | Milan Win | 1:2 |
| 25 Nov 2023 | Milan Win | 1:0 |
| 4 Mar 2023 | Fiorentina Win | 2:1 |
Milan - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Juventus | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Napoli | 2:1 | W |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Udinese | 0:3 | W |
| 14 Sep 2025 | Bologna | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Aug 2025 | Lecce | 0:2 | W |
Fiorentina - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 Oct 2025 | Roma | 1:2 | L |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Pisa | 0:0 | D |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Como | 1:2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Napoli | 1:3 | L |
| 31 Aug 2025 | Torino | 0:0 | D |