Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea wins |
56.13%
±14.24%
|
1.56 | -12.4% |
| Draw |
26.18%
±4.9%
|
4.33 | +13.4% |
| Leeds wins |
17.69%
±9.54%
|
5.38 | -4.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Chelsea
Leeds
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Chelsea
Leeds
Shots
12.8
12.9
Shots On Target
4.4
4.4
Corners
6.0
5.4
Fouls
10.6
8.8
Yellow Cards
2.8
1.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Chelsea
Leeds
Shots
16.0
10.3
Shots On Target
5.3
3.6
Corners
5.1
4.3
Fouls
11.3
11.9
Yellow Cards
0.9
1.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Chelsea Wins
4Draws
1Leeds Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 3 Dec 2025 | Leeds Win | 3:1 |
| 4 Mar 2023 | Chelsea Win | 1:0 |
| 21 Aug 2022 | Leeds Win | 3:0 |
| 11 May 2022 | Chelsea Win | 0:3 |
| 11 Dec 2021 | Chelsea Win | 3:2 |
Chelsea - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Wolves | 1:3 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | West Ham | 3:2 | W |
| 25 Jan 2026 | Crystal Palace | 1:3 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Brentford | 2:0 | W |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 2:1 | L |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 3:1 | W |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Arsenal | 0:4 | L |
| 26 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1:1 | D |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 4:3 | L |