Parma vs Fiorentina
Final Result
1:0
Parma to win
Our Prediction
Missed
40.7%
Fiorentina to win
±13.8%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Parma wins |
30.5%
±13.36%
|
3.38 | +2.9% |
| Draw |
28.83%
±1.62%
|
3.10 | -10.6% |
| Fiorentina wins |
40.67%
±13.77%
|
2.28 | -7.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Parma
Fiorentina
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Parma
Fiorentina
Shots
11.0
13.1
Shots On Target
3.1
3.4
Corners
2.7
4.7
Fouls
10.8
12.6
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.7
Red Cards
0.3
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Parma
Fiorentina
Shots
9.0
8.8
Shots On Target
3.2
5.5
Corners
3.0
3.8
Fouls
16.2
14.8
Yellow Cards
2.8
2.5
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Parma Wins
0Draws
4Fiorentina Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 7 Mar 2021 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 7 Nov 2020 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 5 Jul 2020 | Fiorentina Win | 1:2 |
Parma - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Lazio | 0:1 | L |
| 8 Dec 2025 | Pisa | 0:1 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Udinese | 0:2 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Verona | 1:2 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Milan | 2:2 | D |
Fiorentina - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | Udinese | 5:1 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Verona | 1:2 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Sassuolo | 3:1 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Atalanta | 2:0 | L |
| 22 Nov 2025 | Juventus | 1:1 | D |