Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Brighton wins |
13.77%
±8.04%
|
4.88 | -32.9% |
| Draw |
28.44%
±4.49%
|
4.00 | +13.8% |
| Arsenal wins |
57.79%
±12.3%
|
1.65 | -4.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Brighton
Arsenal
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Brighton
Arsenal
Shots
11.9
13.0
Shots On Target
4.4
4.7
Corners
4.9
6.0
Fouls
12.0
10.2
Yellow Cards
2.4
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Brighton
Arsenal
Shots
11.2
16.2
Shots On Target
3.1
5.2
Corners
4.2
6.8
Fouls
11.9
10.8
Yellow Cards
2.2
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Brighton Wins
2Draws
3Arsenal Wins
5| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 27 Dec 2025 | Arsenal Win | 2:1 |
| 4 Jan 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 31 Aug 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Arsenal Win | 0:3 |
| 17 Dec 2023 | Arsenal Win | 2:0 |
Brighton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | Nott'm Forest | 2:1 | W |
| 21 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 0:2 | W |
| 11 Feb 2026 | Aston Villa | 1:0 | L |
| 8 Feb 2026 | Crystal Palace | 0:1 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Everton | 1:1 | D |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Mar 2026 | Chelsea | 2:1 | W |
| 22 Feb 2026 | Tottenham | 1:4 | W |
| 18 Feb 2026 | Wolves | 2:2 | D |
| 12 Feb 2026 | Brentford | 1:1 | D |
| 7 Feb 2026 | Sunderland | 3:0 | W |