Real Madrid vs Vallecano
Final Result
2:1
Real Madrid to win
Our Prediction
Correct
75.2%
Real Madrid to win
±10.3%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Real Madrid wins |
75.23%
±10.31%
|
1.26 | -5.2% |
| Draw |
17%
±5.19%
|
6.00 | +2.0% |
| Vallecano wins |
7.77%
±5.19%
|
11.00 | -14.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Real Madrid
Vallecano
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Real Madrid
Vallecano
Shots
19.2
14.2
Shots On Target
6.9
4.5
Corners
6.8
5.6
Fouls
9.6
13.7
Yellow Cards
1.5
3.0
Red Cards
0.3
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Real Madrid
Vallecano
Shots
14.8
14.1
Shots On Target
4.8
4.6
Corners
6.6
4.0
Fouls
9.0
17.1
Yellow Cards
2.6
3.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Real Madrid Wins
4Draws
4Vallecano Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 9 Nov 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 9 Mar 2025 | Real Madrid Win | 2:1 |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Draw | 3:3 |
| 18 Feb 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 5 Nov 2023 | Draw | 0:0 |
Real Madrid - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Villarreal | 0:2 | W |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Levante | 2:0 | W |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Betis | 5:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Sevilla | 2:0 | W |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Alaves | 1:2 | W |
Vallecano - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan 2026 | Osasuna | 1:3 | L |
| 18 Jan 2026 | Celta | 3:0 | L |
| 11 Jan 2026 | Mallorca | 2:1 | W |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Getafe | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Elche | 4:0 | L |