Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Benfica wins |
82.47%
±7.76%
|
1.15 | -5.2% |
| Draw |
13.31%
±4.74%
|
7.38 | -1.8% |
| Casa Pia wins |
4.22%
±3.06%
|
14.00 | -40.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Benfica
Casa Pia
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Benfica
Casa Pia
Shots
15.3
9.6
Shots On Target
6.0
3.1
Corners
5.3
4.1
Fouls
13.0
15.9
Yellow Cards
2.7
3.2
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Benfica
Casa Pia
Shots
17.8
6.7
Shots On Target
6.0
2.0
Corners
9.5
3.0
Fouls
9.7
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.2
2.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Benfica Wins
4Draws
1Casa Pia Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | Casa Pia Win | 3:1 |
| 17 Aug 2024 | Benfica Win | 3:0 |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Benfica Win | 0:1 |
| 28 Oct 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 4 Feb 2023 | Benfica Win | 3:0 |
Benfica - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Guimaraes | 0:3 | W |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Arouca | 5:0 | W |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Porto | 0:0 | D |
| 26 Sep 2025 | Gil Vicente | 2:1 | W |
| 23 Sep 2025 | Rio Ave | 1:1 | D |
Casa Pia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Estrela | 3:5 | L |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Sp Braga | 4:0 | L |
| 3 Oct 2025 | Estoril | 2:2 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Moreirense | 2:1 | L |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Famalicao | 1:1 | D |