Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta wins |
37.71%
±14.03%
|
1.76 | -33.8% |
| Draw |
31.29%
±2.26%
|
3.70 | +15.8% |
| Sevilla wins Top Bet |
31%
±12.46%
|
4.68 | +44.9% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Celta
Sevilla
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Celta
Sevilla
Shots
7.5
12.4
Shots On Target
3.8
2.8
Corners
2.8
5.0
Fouls
13.0
13.3
Yellow Cards
2.2
3.1
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Hit On Woodwork
N/A
0.0
Free Kicks Conceded
N/A
0.0
Offsides
N/A
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Celta
Sevilla
Shots
12.0
10.5
Shots On Target
4.5
4.4
Corners
3.7
4.8
Fouls
13.2
12.4
Yellow Cards
2.3
3.7
Red Cards
0.1
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Celta Wins
3Draws
4Sevilla Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | Celta Win | 0:1 |
| 10 May 2025 | Celta Win | 3:2 |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Sevilla Win | 1:0 |
| 17 Mar 2024 | Celta Win | 1:2 |
| 4 Nov 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Celta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Ath Bilbao | 1:1 | D |
| 12 May 2026 | Levante | 2:3 | L |
| 9 May 2026 | Ath Madrid | 0:1 | W |
| 3 May 2026 | Elche | 3:1 | W |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Villarreal | 2:1 | L |
Sevilla - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May 2026 | Real Madrid | 0:1 | L |
| 13 May 2026 | Villarreal | 2:3 | W |
| 9 May 2026 | Espanol | 2:1 | W |
| 4 May 2026 | Sociedad | 1:0 | W |
| 26 Apr 2026 | Osasuna | 2:1 | L |