Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter wins |
38.54%
±14.19%
|
2.56 | -1.3% |
| Draw |
30.64%
±2.32%
|
3.10 | -5.0% |
| Stevenage wins |
30.82%
±12.52%
|
2.75 | -15.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Exeter
Stevenage
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Exeter
Stevenage
Shots
11.3
8.2
Shots On Target
4.0
2.4
Corners
5.2
5.2
Fouls
10.0
12.7
Yellow Cards
2.1
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Exeter
Stevenage
Shots
11.2
11.2
Shots On Target
4.7
3.4
Corners
5.3
5.8
Fouls
11.5
11.6
Yellow Cards
1.7
2.0
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Exeter Wins
6Draws
2Stevenage Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 20 Sep 2025 | Stevenage Win | 2:1 |
| 1 Feb 2025 | Stevenage Win | 4:1 |
| 21 Sep 2024 | Exeter Win | 2:0 |
| 6 Apr 2024 | Exeter Win | 1:0 |
| 16 Dec 2023 | Draw | 1:1 |
Exeter - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4 Jan 2026 | Huddersfield | 2:2 | D |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Luton | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Dec 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 0:1 | W |
| 26 Dec 2025 | Cardiff | 1:0 | L |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Barnsley | 3:0 | W |
Stevenage - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jan 2026 | Luton | 2:1 | L |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Plymouth | 1:1 | D |
| 29 Dec 2025 | Cardiff | 2:1 | L |
| 26 Dec 2025 | AFC Wimbledon | 0:0 | D |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Burton | 2:2 | D |