Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins |
11.39%
±6.78%
|
5.63 | -35.9% |
| Draw |
28.53%
±4.93%
|
3.95 | +12.7% |
| Arsenal wins |
60.08%
±11.51%
|
1.60 | -4.2% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Everton
Arsenal
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Everton
Arsenal
Shots
10.1
14.7
Shots On Target
3.0
5.8
Corners
5.0
5.2
Fouls
11.4
9.6
Yellow Cards
1.7
1.1
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Everton
Arsenal
Shots
7.4
15.9
Shots On Target
2.4
4.4
Hit On Woodwork
0.0
0.0
Corners
2.7
7.0
Fouls
11.0
9.2
Free Kicks Conceded
0.0
0.0
Offsides
0.0
0.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.3
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Everton Wins
4Draws
2Arsenal Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 5 Apr 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 14 Dec 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 19 May 2024 | Arsenal Win | 2:1 |
| 17 Sep 2023 | Arsenal Win | 0:1 |
| 1 Mar 2023 | Arsenal Win | 4:0 |
Everton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Chelsea | 2:0 | L |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 3:0 | W |
| 2 Dec 2025 | Bournemouth | 0:1 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Newcastle | 1:4 | L |
| 24 Nov 2025 | Man United | 0:1 | W |
Arsenal - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec 2025 | Wolves | 2:1 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Aston Villa | 2:1 | L |
| 3 Dec 2025 | Brentford | 2:0 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Chelsea | 1:1 | D |
| 23 Nov 2025 | Tottenham | 4:1 | W |