Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Zwolle wins |
22.15%
±11.33%
|
3.15 | -30.2% |
| Draw |
27.99%
±2.81%
|
3.78 | +5.7% |
| Nijmegen wins |
49.86%
±13.72%
|
2.10 | +4.7% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Zwolle
Nijmegen
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Zwolle
Nijmegen
Shots
8.4
15.7
Shots On Target
2.2
7.1
Corners
2.3
5.2
Fouls
10.4
13.1
Yellow Cards
2.1
1.8
Red Cards
0.2
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Zwolle
Nijmegen
Shots
12.5
13.2
Shots On Target
3.5
5.0
Corners
3.7
5.3
Fouls
13.8
9.3
Yellow Cards
2.5
1.7
Red Cards
0.5
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Zwolle Wins
0Draws
2Nijmegen Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2025 | Nijmegen Win | 0:1 |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Nijmegen Win | 1:0 |
| 14 Apr 2024 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 9 Dec 2023 | Nijmegen Win | 1:3 |
| 5 Feb 2022 | Draw | 1:1 |
Zwolle - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | NAC Breda | 2:2 | D |
| 4 Oct 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 0:4 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Volendam | 2:1 | L |
| 24 Sep 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 2:2 | D |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 0:2 | L |
Nijmegen - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Oct 2025 | Twente | 3:3 | D |
| 5 Oct 2025 | Go Ahead Eagles | 1:1 | D |
| 28 Sep 2025 | AZ Alkmaar | 2:1 | W |
| 21 Sep 2025 | Heerenveen | 3:2 | L |
| 13 Sep 2025 | PSV Eindhoven | 3:5 | L |