Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Freiburg wins |
46.99%
±14.64%
|
1.83 | -14.0% |
| Draw |
29.43%
±3.79%
|
3.50 | +3.0% |
| St Pauli wins |
23.58%
±11.16%
|
4.42 | +4.1% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Freiburg
St Pauli
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Freiburg
St Pauli
Shots
11.7
12.3
Shots On Target
3.4
4.2
Corners
3.9
5.7
Fouls
9.0
11.8
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.0
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Freiburg
St Pauli
Shots
6.0
7.5
Shots On Target
3.0
2.5
Corners
5.0
2.0
Fouls
8.5
14.0
Yellow Cards
1.5
2.0
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Freiburg Wins
1Draws
0St Pauli Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb 2025 | Freiburg Win | 0:1 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | St Pauli Win | 0:3 |
Freiburg - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | Union Berlin | 0:0 | D |
| 26 Oct 2025 | Leverkusen | 2:0 | L |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 2:2 | D |
| 5 Oct 2025 | M'gladbach | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Sep 2025 | Hoffenheim | 1:1 | D |
St Pauli - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 Nov 2025 | M'gladbach | 0:4 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Ein Frankfurt | 2:0 | L |
| 19 Oct 2025 | Hoffenheim | 0:3 | L |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Werder Bremen | 1:0 | L |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Leverkusen | 1:2 | L |