Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ayr wins |
52.15%
±13.83%
|
1.77 | -7.9% |
| Draw |
30.64%
±5.18%
|
3.35 | +2.6% |
| Morton wins |
17.21%
±8.87%
|
4.05 | -30.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Ayr
Morton
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Ayr
Morton
Shots
9.6
8.0
Shots On Target
4.2
3.3
Corners
4.6
4.4
Fouls
12.1
12.3
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.6
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Ayr
Morton
Shots
9.9
8.7
Shots On Target
4.2
3.9
Corners
5.6
3.8
Fouls
13.4
12.2
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Ayr Wins
1Draws
5Morton Wins
4| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug 2025 | Draw | 2:2 |
| 8 Mar 2025 | Morton Win | 2:1 |
| 28 Dec 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 8 Nov 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 28 Sep 2024 | Ayr Win | 1:0 |
Ayr - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2025 | Raith Rvs | 0:2 | W |
| 4 Oct 2025 | St Johnstone | 0:0 | D |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Airdrie Utd | 4:2 | W |
| 23 Sep 2025 | Dunfermline | 0:1 | W |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Ross County | 1:1 | D |
Morton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct 2025 | Partick | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Oct 2025 | Airdrie Utd | 1:2 | W |
| 27 Sep 2025 | Ross County | 1:1 | D |
| 20 Sep 2025 | Arbroath | 1:1 | D |
| 13 Sep 2025 | Queens Park | 0:0 | D |