Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Famalicao wins |
61.6%
±13.5%
|
1.55 | -4.5% |
| Draw |
24.56%
±5.59%
|
3.85 | -5.5% |
| Estrela wins |
13.84%
±8.05%
|
5.75 | -20.4% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Famalicao
Estrela
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Famalicao
Estrela
Shots
14.5
12.4
Shots On Target
5.2
4.2
Corners
5.5
3.2
Fouls
17.7
14.4
Yellow Cards
2.9
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Famalicao
Estrela
Shots
10.5
8.2
Shots On Target
3.5
2.2
Corners
3.8
3.5
Fouls
13.5
15.5
Yellow Cards
1.5
3.2
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Famalicao Wins
1Draws
2Estrela Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 25 Jan 2025 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 19 Aug 2024 | Famalicao Win | 0:3 |
| 16 Mar 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 29 Oct 2023 | Estrela Win | 1:0 |
Famalicao - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec 2025 | Benfica | 1:0 | L |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Estoril | 4:0 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Sp Braga | 1:2 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Moreirense | 2:2 | D |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Porto | 0:1 | L |
Estrela - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | Moreirense | 0:0 | D |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Porto | 3:1 | L |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Arouca | 3:1 | W |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 4:0 | L |
| 9 Nov 2025 | Nacional | 1:1 | D |