Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Arouca wins |
35.2%
±14.44%
|
2.78 | -2.3% |
| Draw |
28.66%
±1.69%
|
3.23 | -7.6% |
| Alverca wins |
36.14%
±13.8%
|
2.47 | -10.6% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Arouca
Alverca
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Arouca
Alverca
Shots
8.5
9.8
Shots On Target
2.4
4.0
Corners
3.4
3.2
Fouls
15.5
13.1
Yellow Cards
3.3
2.5
Red Cards
0.5
0.1
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Arouca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | Estrela | 3:1 | L |
| 1 Dec 2025 | Sp Braga | 0:4 | L |
| 7 Nov 2025 | Estoril | 4:3 | L |
| 2 Nov 2025 | Moreirense | 0:2 | L |
| 25 Oct 2025 | Benfica | 5:0 | L |
Alverca - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Dec 2025 | Nacional | 1:0 | W |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Casa Pia | 0:2 | W |
| 8 Nov 2025 | Rio Ave | 1:1 | D |
| 31 Oct 2025 | Sp Lisbon | 2:0 | L |
| 24 Oct 2025 | Gil Vicente | 0:4 | L |