Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Celta wins |
44.68%
±14.57%
|
2.08 | -7.3% |
| Draw |
29.55%
±3.32%
|
3.23 | -4.7% |
| Vallecano wins |
25.77%
±11.64%
|
3.85 | -0.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Celta
Vallecano
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Celta
Vallecano
Shots
9.3
14.5
Shots On Target
4.4
4.6
Corners
2.2
5.7
Fouls
12.1
13.5
Yellow Cards
2.0
2.7
Red Cards
0.0
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Celta
Vallecano
Shots
12.2
11.5
Shots On Target
3.8
3.4
Corners
4.2
4.5
Fouls
12.6
14.8
Yellow Cards
1.9
2.9
Red Cards
0.1
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Celta Wins
2Draws
5Vallecano Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 21 Sep 2025 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 18 May 2025 | Vallecano Win | 1:2 |
| 10 Jan 2025 | Vallecano Win | 2:1 |
| 31 Mar 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 11 Dec 2023 | Draw | 0:0 |
Celta - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jan 2026 | Sevilla | 0:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Valencia | 4:1 | W |
| 20 Dec 2025 | Oviedo | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Ath Bilbao | 2:0 | W |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Real Madrid | 0:2 | W |
Vallecano - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan 2026 | Mallorca | 2:1 | W |
| 2 Jan 2026 | Getafe | 1:1 | D |
| 21 Dec 2025 | Elche | 4:0 | L |
| 15 Dec 2025 | Betis | 0:0 | D |
| 7 Dec 2025 | Espanol | 1:0 | L |