Union Berlin vs Mainz
Final Result
2:2
Match ended in a draw
Our Prediction
Missed
45%
Union Berlin to win
±14.9%
Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Union Berlin wins |
44.97%
±14.89%
|
2.15 | -3.3% |
| Draw |
29.41%
±3.41%
|
3.25 | -4.4% |
| Mainz wins |
25.62%
±11.84%
|
3.60 | -7.8% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Union Berlin
Mainz
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Union Berlin
Mainz
Shots
12.2
9.3
Shots On Target
3.6
2.4
Corners
5.5
4.2
Fouls
13.1
12.8
Yellow Cards
2.8
2.6
Red Cards
0.0
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Union Berlin
Mainz
Shots
11.8
10.7
Shots On Target
4.2
3.1
Corners
3.8
4.1
Fouls
12.6
12.4
Yellow Cards
2.5
2.4
Red Cards
0.1
0.2
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Union Berlin Wins
6Draws
3Mainz Wins
1| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan 2025 | Union Berlin Win | 2:1 |
| 24 Aug 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 7 Feb 2024 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 20 Aug 2023 | Union Berlin Win | 4:1 |
| 4 Feb 2023 | Union Berlin Win | 2:1 |
Union Berlin - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec 2025 | FC Koln | 0:1 | W |
| 12 Dec 2025 | RB Leipzig | 3:1 | W |
| 6 Dec 2025 | Wolfsburg | 3:1 | L |
| 29 Nov 2025 | Heidenheim | 1:2 | L |
| 23 Nov 2025 | St Pauli | 0:1 | W |
Mainz - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec 2025 | St Pauli | 0:0 | D |
| 14 Dec 2025 | Bayern Munich | 2:2 | D |
| 5 Dec 2025 | M'gladbach | 0:1 | L |
| 30 Nov 2025 | Freiburg | 4:0 | L |
| 21 Nov 2025 | Hoffenheim | 1:1 | D |