Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bastia wins |
29.91%
±12.94%
|
3.05 | -8.8% |
| Draw |
30.75%
±1.67%
|
3.05 | -6.2% |
| Troyes wins |
39.34%
±13.32%
|
2.30 | -9.5% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Bastia
Troyes
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Bastia
Troyes
Shots
10.2
13.8
Shots On Target
2.9
4.3
Corners
3.5
4.8
Fouls
15.6
12.7
Yellow Cards
3.4
2.6
Red Cards
0.2
0.3
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Bastia
Troyes
Shots
15.2
10.0
Shots On Target
3.8
4.4
Corners
5.0
3.2
Fouls
13.4
14.8
Yellow Cards
2.4
3.2
Red Cards
0.4
0.4
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Bastia Wins
1Draws
1Troyes Wins
3| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 17 Oct 2025 | Troyes Win | 1:0 |
| 28 Feb 2025 | Troyes Win | 2:0 |
| 13 Sep 2024 | Draw | 0:0 |
| 9 Mar 2024 | Troyes Win | 2:0 |
| 26 Aug 2023 | Bastia Win | 3:2 |
Bastia - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 6 Feb 2026 | Reims | 0:0 | D |
| 30 Jan 2026 | Nancy | 0:0 | D |
| 23 Jan 2026 | Montpellier | 0:2 | L |
| 16 Jan 2026 | Laval | 0:2 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Grenoble | 1:0 | W |
Troyes - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Feb 2026 | Nancy | 2:1 | L |
| 31 Jan 2026 | Le Mans | 0:2 | L |
| 24 Jan 2026 | Guingamp | 1:0 | L |
| 17 Jan 2026 | Reims | 2:1 | W |
| 3 Jan 2026 | Red Star | 1:0 | W |