Outcome Probabilities
| Outcome | Probability | Odds | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Everton wins |
36.98%
±14.21%
|
2.45 | -9.4% |
| Draw |
30.92%
±2.12%
|
3.23 | -0.3% |
| Leeds wins |
32.1%
±12.85%
|
2.95 | -5.3% |
Model Rating
AI model rating per team before kickoff
Everton
Leeds
Recent Form Statistics
Average per-match stats from each team's recent matches before kickoff.
Stat
Everton
Leeds
Shots
11.2
13.6
Shots On Target
3.3
4.8
Corners
4.6
5.1
Fouls
10.2
9.1
Yellow Cards
1.4
1.1
Red Cards
0.2
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side for that metric.
Head-to-Head Statistics
Average per-match stats from recent meetings.
Stat
Everton
Leeds
Shots
13.1
15.1
Shots On Target
5.9
3.7
Corners
3.6
5.9
Fouls
9.4
9.0
Yellow Cards
2.3
1.9
Red Cards
0.0
0.0
Highlighted values indicate the stronger side in recent meetings.
Head-to-Head History
Everton Wins
3Draws
2Leeds Wins
2| Date | Result | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug 2025 | Leeds Win | 1:0 |
| 18 Feb 2023 | Everton Win | 1:0 |
| 30 Aug 2022 | Draw | 1:1 |
| 12 Feb 2022 | Everton Win | 3:0 |
| 21 Aug 2021 | Draw | 2:2 |
Everton - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jan 2026 | Aston Villa | 0:1 | W |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Wolves | 1:1 | D |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Brentford | 2:4 | L |
| 30 Dec 2025 | Nott'm Forest | 0:2 | W |
| 27 Dec 2025 | Burnley | 0:0 | D |
Leeds - Recent Form
| Date | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Jan 2026 | Fulham | 1:0 | W |
| 7 Jan 2026 | Newcastle | 4:3 | L |
| 4 Jan 2026 | Man United | 1:1 | D |
| 1 Jan 2026 | Liverpool | 0:0 | D |
| 28 Dec 2025 | Sunderland | 1:1 | D |